Development of a Source Term Estimation Method for Nuclear Emergency by Long-range Atmospheric Dispersion Simulations

Accession number;06A0802643
Title;Development of a Source Term Estimation Method for Nuclear Emergency by Long-range Atmospheric Dispersion Simulations
Author; FURUNO AKIKO (Nihongenshiryokukenkyukaihatsukiko) CHINO MASAMICHI (Nihongenshiryokukenkyukaihatsukiko) YAMAZAWA HIROMI (Nagoya Univ., Graduate School of Engineering, JPN)
Journal Title;Transactions of the Atomic Energy Society of Japan
Journal Code:L4596A
ISSN:1347-2879
VOL.5;NO.3;PAGE.229-240(2006)
Figure&Table&Reference;FIG.12, TBL.3, REF.20
Pub. Country;Japan
Language;Japanese
Abstract;This paper describes a method of estimating source term, i.e., location, period and amount of atmospheric release of radioactive material in real-time during nuclear emergency. This method consists of: (1) trial simulations of atmospheric dispersions on the possible combinations of these parameters and (2) statistical comparison of model predictions with off-site measurements of air concentrations of radionuclides and/or air dose rates from monitoring stations, to find a set of release condition providing model prediction that fits best to the measurement. A parallel execution method for efficiently processing many possible initial conditions is also developed. The performance of this method is favorably evaluated by a verification study using the dataset from European Tracer Experiment. (author abst.)